Apple Strategy Updated May 7, 2016
Apple closed at 92.70 on Friday, after having closed the previous week at 93.74. Three of our AAPL strategies had out-of-the-money options expire. We sold new options for each strategy for the May 13 expiration next Friday. We also received a 57 cent dividend on May 5.
To review, we are tracking 4 covered call strategies on Apple for 2016 (we are also tracking a buy-and-hold strategy for comparison):
Strategy Name | Source of Income | YTD Return | vs. B&H |
---|---|---|---|
12%/year goal | ITM weekly covered calls + dividends |
2.3% | 10.9% |
24%/year goal | ITM weekly covered calls + dividends |
2.7% | 11.3% |
ATM | ATM weekly covered calls + dividends |
-4.4% | 4.2% |
2% OTM | 2% OTM weekly covered calls + dividends |
-6.3% | 2.4% |
buy and hold | dividends | -8.7% |
In all cases our initial purchase of AAPL was done at $102.57 on Jan 4, 2016. See the goals for the year and initial option sales here. (definitions for ITM, ATM, and OTM)
12%/year goal - Apple Strategy #1
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 74.54 | 70.74 | 3.13 |
4/1/16 | sell 107-strike Apr 8 call | 3.20 | 0.26 | |
4/8/16 | buy 107-strike Apr 8 call | 1.56 | -0.01 | |
4/8/16 | sell 104-strike Apr 15 call | 4.80 | 0.25 | |
4/15/16 | buy 104-strike Apr 15 call | 5.85 | -0.02 | |
4/15/16 | sell 105-strike Apr 22 call | 5.05 | 0.22 | |
4/22/16 | buy 105-strike Apr 22 call | 0.65 | 0.00 | |
4/22/16 | sell 97-strike Apr 29 call | 8.90 | 0.25 | |
4/29/16 | 97-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/29/16 | sell 91.50-strike May 6 call | 2.76 | 0.38 |
A few minutes before the close Friday AAPL was trading at 92.60. We rolled the 91.50-strike to next week's 90-strike options to generate 32 cents of premium:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
5/5/16 | dividend | 0.57 | ||
5/6/16 | buy 91.50-strike May 6 call | 1.10 | 0.00 | |
5/6/16 | sell 90-strike May 13 call | 2.92 | 0.32 |
Here's the math we used to determine the 90-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 12%/year:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
Dec 31 goal for 12% return | 114.88 | 102.57 * 1.12 |
actual income received | 12.32 | net call premium + paid divs |
dividends yet to be paid 2016 | 1.14 | 2 x 0.57 |
assumed income received | 13.46 | net call premium + unpaid divs |
current stock price | 92.60 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + assumed income | 106.06 | 92.60 + 13.46 |
income needed by Dec 31 | 8.82 | 114.88 - 106.06 |
weeks remaining | 34 | in 2016 |
income needed per week | 0.26 | 8.82 / 34 |
2016 YTD return | 2.3% | (106.06 - 1.14 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
With that, we knew that to get 12% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 26 cents per week for the 34 remaining weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the deepest in-the-money option we could sell that provided at least 26 cents of time premium was the 90-strike.
24%/year goal - Apple Strategy #2
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 47.36 | 46.96 | 6.39 |
4/1/16 | sell 108-strike Apr 8 call | 2.38 | 0.44 | |
4/8/16 | buy 108-strike Apr 8 call | 0.56 | -0.01 | |
4/8/16 | sell 106-strike Apr 15 call | 3.00 | 0.45 | |
4/15/16 | buy 106-strike Apr 15 call | 3.85 | -0.02 | |
4/15/16 | sell 107-strike Apr 22 call | 3.25 | 0.42 | |
4/22/16 | 107-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/22/16 | sell 99.50-strike Apr 29 call | 6.65 | 0.50 | |
4/29/16 | 99.50-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/29/16 | sell 93-strike May 6 call | 1.68 | 0.80 |
A few minutes before the close yesterday AAPL was trading at 92.60 and we let the 93-strike expire OTM. We then sold next week's 91.50-strike to generate 75 cents of premium:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
5/5/16 | dividend | 0.57 | ||
5/6/16 | 93-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
5/6/16 | sell 91.50-strike May 13 call | 1.85 | 0.75 |
Here's the math we used to determine the 91.50-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 24%/year:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
Dec 31 goal for 24% return | 127.19 | 102.57 * 1.24 |
actual income received | 12.72 | net call premium + paid divs |
dividends yet to be paid 2016 | 1.14 | 2 x 0.57 |
assumed income received | 14.43 | net call premium + unpaid divs |
current stock price | 92.60 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + assumed income | 107.03 | 92.60 + 14.43 |
income needed by Dec 31 | 20.16 | 127.19 - 107.03 |
weeks remaining | 34 | in 2016 |
income needed per week | 0.59 | 20.16 / 34 |
2016 YTD return | 2.7% | (107.03 - 1.14 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
To stay on track for a 24% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 59 cents per week for the remaining 34 weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the deepest in-the-money option we could sell that provided at least 59 cents of time premium was the 91.50-strike.
ATM (at-the-money) - Apple Strategy #3
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 20.18 | 19.16 | 17.40 |
4/1/16 | sell 110-strike Apr 8 call | 1.04 | 1.04 | |
4/8/16 | 110-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/8/16 | sell 109-strike Apr 15 call | 1.08 | 1.08 | |
4/15/16 | buy 109-strike Apr 15 call | 0.85 | -0.02 | |
4/15/16 | sell 110-strike Apr 22 call | 1.21 | 1.21 | |
4/22/16 | 110-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/22/16 | sell 106-strike Apr 29 call | 2.26 | 2.26 | |
4/29/16 | 106-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/29/16 | sell 94-strike May 6 call | 1.13 | 1.13 |
A few minutes before the close today AAPL was trading at 92.60 so we let the 94-strike options expire and sold next week's 92.50-strike to generate $1.05 of premium:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
5/5/16 | dividend | 0.57 | ||
5/6/16 | 94-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
5/6/16 | sell 92.50-strike May 13 call | 1.25 | 1.05 |
At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
actual income received | 5.42 | net call premium + paid divs |
current stock price | 92.60 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + actual income | 98.02 | 92.60 + 5.42 |
2016 YTD return | -4.4% | (98.02 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
This strategy is simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.
2% OTM (out-of-the-money) - Apple Strategy #4
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 8.74 | 8.67 | 8.00 |
4/1/16 | sell 112-strike Apr 8 call | 0.35 | 0.35 | |
4/8/16 | 112-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/8/16 | sell 111-strike Apr 15 call | 0.42 | 0.42 | |
4/15/16 | 111-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/15/16 | sell 112-strike Apr 22 call | 0.45 | 0.45 | |
4/22/16 | 112-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/22/16 | sell 108-strike Apr 29 call | 1.39 | 1.39 | |
4/29/16 | 108-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
4/29/16 | sell 96-strike May 6 call | 0.43 | 0.43 |
A few minutes before the close today AAPL was trading at 92.60 so we let the 96-strike expire and sold next week's 94.50-strike to generate $0.45 of premium:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
5/5/16 | dividend | 0.57 | ||
5/6/16 | 96-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
5/6/16 | sell 94.50-strike May 13 call | 0.45 | 0.45 |
At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
actual income received | 3.54 | net call premium + paid divs |
current stock price | 92.60 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + actual income | 96.14 | 92.60 + 3.54 |
2016 YTD return | -6.3% | (96.14 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
This strategy is also simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.
Buy and Hold (For Comparison)
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
2/4/16 | dividend | 0.52 | ||
5/5/16 | dividend | 0.57 |
This strategy's summary when AAPL was trading at 92.60 near the close today:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
actual income received | 1.09 | paid dividends |
current stock price | 92.60 | |
stock price + actual income | 93.69 | 92.60 + 1.09 |
2016 YTD return | -8.7% | (93.69 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
Mike Scanlin is the founder of Born To Sell and has been writing covered calls for a long time.