Apple Strategy Updated Oct 28, 2016
Apple closed at 113.69 on Friday, after having closed the previous week at 116.60. One of our AAPL strategies had in-the-money options at expiration so we bought them back and sold new options for the Nov 4 expiration.
To review, we are tracking 4 covered call strategies on Apple for 2016 (we are also tracking a buy-and-hold strategy for comparison):
Strategy Name | Source of Income | YTD Return | vs. B&H |
---|---|---|---|
12%/year goal | ITM weekly covered calls + dividends |
8.0% | -4.5% |
24%/year goal | ITM/ATM weekly covered calls + dividends |
8.6% | -3.9% |
ATM | ATM weekly covered calls + dividends |
1.3% | -11.2% |
2% OTM | 2% OTM weekly covered calls + dividends |
2.4% | -10.1% |
buy and hold | dividends | 12.5% |
In all cases our initial purchase of AAPL was done at $102.57 on Jan 4, 2016. See the goals for the year and initial option sales here. (definitions for ITM, ATM, and OTM)
12%/year goal - Apple Strategy #1
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 74.54 | 70.74 | 3.13 |
Q2 | 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 | 35.62 | 49.81 | 3.87 |
Q3 | 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 | 46.31 | 31.45 | 5.29 |
9/30/16 | sell 112-strike Oct 7 call | 1.64 | 0.61 | |
10/7/16 | buy 112-strike Oct 7 call | 2.07 | -0.01 | |
10/7/16 | sell 113-strike Oct 14 call | 1.63 | 0.57 | |
10/14/16 | buy 113-strike Oct 14 call | 4.61 | -0.01 | |
10/14/16 | sell 116-strike Oct 21 call | 2.16 | 0.56 | |
10/21/16 | buy 116-strike Oct 21 call | 0.50 | -0.01 | |
10/21/16 | sell 110-strike Oct 28 call | 7.00 | 0.51 |
A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 113.73. We bought back the 110-strike and sold next week's 113-strike options to generate 63 cents of premium.
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/28/16 | buy 110-strike Oct 28 call | 3.74 | -0.01 | |
10/28/16 | sell 113-strike Nov 4 call | 1.36 | 0.63 |
Here's the math we used to determine the 113-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 12%/year:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
Dec 31 goal for 12% return | 114.88 | 102.57 * 1.12 |
actual income received | -2.96 | net call premium + paid divs |
dividends yet to be paid 2016 | 0.57 | 1 x 0.57 |
assumed income received | -2.39 | net call premium + unpaid divs |
current stock price | 113.73 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + assumed income | 111.34 | 113.73 - 2.39 |
income needed by Dec 31 | 3.54 | 114.88 - 111.34 |
weeks remaining | 9 | in 2016 |
income needed per week | 0.39 | 3.54 / 9 |
2016 YTD return | 8.0% | (111.34 - 0.57 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
With that, we knew that to get 12% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 39 cents per week for the 9 remaining weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the deepest in-the-money option we could sell that provided at least 39 cents of time premium was the 113-strike.
24%/year goal - Apple Strategy #2
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 47.36 | 46.96 | 6.39 |
Q2 | 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 | 21.21 | 31.03 | 8.61 |
Q3 | 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 | 30.41 | 16.95 | 11.61 |
9/30/16 | sell 113-strike Oct 7 call | 1.05 | 1.02 | |
10/7/16 | buy 113-strike Oct 7 call | 1.07 | -0.01 | |
10/7/16 | sell 114-strike Oct 14 call | 1.02 | 0.96 | |
10/14/16 | buy 114-strike Oct 14 call | 3.61 | -0.01 | |
10/14/16 | sell 118-strike Oct 21 call | 0.98 | 0.98 | |
10/21/16 | 118-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
10/21/16 | sell 115-strike Oct 28 call | 3.35 | 1.86 |
A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 113.73. We let the 115-strike expire worthless and sold next week's 114-strike options to generate 81 cents of premium.
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/28/16 | 115-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
10/28/16 | sell 114-strike Nov 4 call | 0.81 | 0.81 |
Here's the math we used to determine the 114-strike was the right strike to keep us on track for 24%/year:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
Dec 31 goal for 24% return | 127.19 | 102.57 * 1.24 |
actual income received | -2.32 | net call premium + paid divs |
dividends yet to be paid 2016 | 0.57 | 1 x 0.57 |
assumed income received | -1.75 | net call premium + unpaid divs |
current stock price | 113.73 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + assumed income | 111.98 | 113.73 - 1.75 |
income needed by Dec 31 | 15.21 | 127.19 - 111.98 |
weeks remaining | 9 | in 2016 |
income needed per week | 1.69 | 15.21 / 9 |
2016 YTD return | 8.6% | (111.98 - 0.57 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
To stay on track for a 24% return for the year (which includes unpaid, but expected, dividends) we need 1.69 per week for the remaining 9 weeks in time premium. When examining the choices just before Friday's close we saw the 114-strike was offering the highest time premium at 81 cents (below our goal but the best we can do right now).
ATM (at-the-money) - Apple Strategy #3
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 20.18 | 19.16 | 17.40 |
Q2 | 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 | 14.15 | 16.53 | 15.10 |
Q3 | 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 | 27.41 | 15.06 | 12.72 |
9/30/16 | sell 113-strike Oct 7 call | 1.05 | 1.02 | |
10/7/16 | buy 113-strike Oct 7 call | 1.07 | -0.01 | |
10/7/16 | sell 114-strike Oct 14 call | 1.02 | 0.96 | |
10/14/16 | buy 114-strike Oct 14 call | 3.61 | -0.01 | |
10/14/16 | sell 118-strike Oct 21 call | 0.98 | 0.98 | |
10/21/16 | 118-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
10/21/16 | sell 116-strike Oct 28 call | 2.81 | 2.32 |
A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 113.73. We let the 116-strike expire worthless and sold next week's 114-strike options to generate 81 cents of premium.
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/28/16 | 116-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
10/28/16 | sell 114-strike Nov 4 call | 0.81 | 0.81 |
At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
actual income received | -9.81 | net call premium + paid divs |
current stock price | 113.73 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + actual income | 103.92 | 113.73 - 9.81 |
2016 YTD return | 1.3% | (103.92 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
This strategy is simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.
2% OTM (out-of-the-money) - Apple Strategy #4
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
Q1 | 13 covered calls 1/4 to 4/1 | 8.74 | 8.67 | 8.00 |
Q2 | 13 covered calls 4/1 to 7/1 | 6.42 | 6.72 | 6.12 |
Q3 | 13 covered calls 7/1 to 9/30 | 14.97 | 5.16 | 4.55 |
9/30/16 | sell 115-strike Oct 7 call | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
10/7/16 | 115-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
10/7/16 | sell 116-strike Oct 14 call | 0.32 | 0.32 | |
10/14/16 | buy 116-strike Oct 14 call | 1.61 | -0.01 | |
10/14/16 | sell 120-strike Oct 21 call | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
10/21/16 | 120-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
10/21/16 | sell 119-strike Oct 28 call | 1.48 | 1.48 |
A few minutes before the close AAPL was trading at 113.73. We let the 119-strike expire worthless and sold next week's 116-strike options to generate 23 cents of premium.
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/28/16 | 119-strike expired OTM | 0.00 | ||
10/28/16 | sell 116-strike Nov 4 call | 0.23 | 0.23 |
At the time we rolled, this strategy's summary was:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
actual income received | -8.73 | net call premium + paid divs |
current stock price | 113.73 | at the time we rolled |
stock price + actual income | 105.00 | 113.73 - 8.73 |
2016 YTD return | 2.4% | (105.00 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
This strategy is also simple to implement and track. Each Friday we either let the option expire (if OTM) and write a new option, or buy the option back (if ITM) and then sell another option right away.
Buy and Hold (For Comparison)
Prior actions:
Date | Action | $ out | $ in | Time Premium |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/4/16 | buy 100 shares AAPL | 102.57 | ||
2/4/16 | dividend | 0.52 | ||
5/5/16 | dividend | 0.57 | ||
8/4/16 | dividend | 0.57 |
This strategy's summary when AAPL was trading at 116.49 near the close Friday:
Item | Value | Notes |
---|---|---|
starting capital | 102.57 | Initial cost of shares |
actual income received | 1.66 | paid dividends |
current stock price | 113.73 | |
stock price + actual income | 115.39 | 113.73 + 1.66 |
2016 YTD return | 12.5% | (115.39 - 102.57) / 102.57 |
Mike Scanlin is the founder of Born To Sell and has been writing covered calls for a long time.